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Scientists say Greenland just opened up a major new floodgate of ice

first_imgAs the world prepares for the most important global climate summit yet in Paris later this month, news fromGreenland could add urgency to the negotiations. Another major glacier appears to have begun a rapid retreat into a deep underwater basin, a troubling sign previously noticed at Greenland’s Jakobshavn Glacier and also in the Amundsen Sea region of West Antarctica.And in all of these cases, warm ocean waters reaching the deep bases of marine glaciers appears to be a major cause.The new fast-moving glacier is the Zachariae glacier or Zachariæ Isstrøm, located in the far northeastern part of Greenland. In a new paper in Science, Jeremie Mouginot of the University of California-Irvine and his colleagues find that the ocean-based glacier, which contains 0.5 meters or a foot and a half of potential sea level rise, has begun a rapid retreat, especially since 2012. The glacier has lost fully 95 percent of the ice shelf that used to help stabilize it, they say, and now sports a 75 meter high ice cliff extending above the water (the glacier also extends hundreds of additional meters below it).“This is sort of the second major floodgate from Greenland that has opened up,” says Eric Rignot of UC-Irvine and NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, one of the authors of the study. The first, says Rignot, was the Jakobshavn glacier, Greenland’s “fastest” moving, according to a recent study, which is currently based 1,300 meters below sea level and also retreating into a deep basin.Now, at Zachariae, that seems to be happening again. In combination with its nearby neighbor, Nioghalvfjerdsfjorden glacier, the two glaciers contain a potential 1.1 meter of sea level rise (over 3 feet), so any change here is not good.“If you see Greenland as a boat, it’s like we’re taking water from every side now,” says Mouginot.Furthermore, Mouginot, Rignot and their colleagues note that Zachariae and Nioghalvfjerdsfjorden together form the terminus of the northeast Greenland ice stream, “the only large, dynamic feature that extends continuously deep to the ice sheet interior near Greenland’s summit.” Twelve percent of the entire Greenland ice sheet, they say, therefore drains through this region.The entire ice sheet of Greenland contains enough ice to raise sea levels some 20 feet. It has been losing ice rapidly in recent years, through a combination of meltwater runoff on the ice sheet’s surface – which reaches the sea through complex channels and fissures – and the calving of large icebergs from its glaciers.Both of these processes have elements that can be pretty spectacular. Atop the ice sheet, vast meltwater lakes can form and then suddenly vanish in a matter of hours, draining rapidly as crevasses open beneath them and they spill into the ice sheet’s depths.At the front ends of marine glaciers, meanwhile, detaching icebergs can tumble and slam back with such force that they knock the glacier itself backwards, and trigger magnitude 5 level earthquakes.NASA estimates that currently, through the combination of these mechanisms, the Greenland ice sheet is losing several hundred billion tons (or gigatons) per year and raising sea levels by three quarters of a millimeter annually. If so, that would be a little under a third of the total global sea level rise, which is currently 3.24 millimeters per year.And now, Zachariae glacier may be poised to add to that total. This NASA satellite image released Aug. 2, 2015 shows the edge of the Zachariae glacier on Greenland’s east coast. AFP/Handout/NASAFrom 1996 through 2010, the new research finds, Zachariae glacier’s grounding line – where the glacier simultaneously meets both the seafloor and the ocean – retreated inland 3.5 kilometers. But then from 2011 through 2015, it retreated another 3.5 kilometers, a sure sign of acceleration. A key event in letting the glacier speed up seems to have been the collapse of its ice shelf, a buttressing tongue that used to extend out over the fjord in front of the glacier, creating an underwater cavity beneath it. Now, in contrast, Zachariae is basically a steep cliff.Other ways of measuring the rate of change of the glacier – its rate of thinning, for instance, or its flow speed into the sea – were also observed to be increasing in the new study.“This study does a nice job of putting together data from multiple sensors to document the ongoing speed up of this glacier. At present its contribution to sea level is relatively small, but there is certainly the potential for it to increase more over time,” says Ian Joughin, a Greenland and polar science expert at the University of Washington, in Seattle, in a comment on the new study.Joughin notes that thus far, despite the fast retreat, Zachariae is not losing as much ice each year as the Jakobshavn glacier in central western Greenland is losing. The new study reports a loss of 5 gigatons annually for the Zachariae glacier, or 5 billion metric tons, versus 25 to 35 gigatons for Jakobshavn, according to Joughin. Joughin thinks Zachariae may not catch up to the latter, since the basin into which it is retreating is not as deep.But Rignot notes that with 1.1 meters of potential sea level rise between them, the Zachariae and Nioghalvfjerdsfjorden glaciers together contain about as much ice as the very worrisome glaciers along the Amundsen Sea coast of West Antarctica. Granted, in the latter case the situation is worse because losing those coastal glaciers would then unleash a bigger destabilization of West Antarctica as a whole.Still, Greenland’s glaciers face a kind of double threat – not only changes in the ocean, but also rapidly rising Arctic temperatures, meaning that they can melt both from above and below.“A disaster is unfolding in slow motion with important sea level rise implications,” says Jason Box, a professor with the Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland, after reading the paper at the Post’s request. Outside Ilulissat (Jakobshavn), Greenland. Bent Petersen/AFPThe researchers forecast that for the next 20 to 30 years, Zachariae glacier will retreat quickly, as it is perched on a seabed that slopes downward in elevation, exposing more and more of the glacier to warm water. At the same time, the ice front exposed to the ocean will widen from 19 kilometers across to 50 kilometers across, increasing the amount of ice that will be able to flow out at once.And most troubling of all in some ways, the glacier’s “calving cliff” will grow taller, increasing from the current height of 75 meters above the water level. That’s worrying because recent research has suggested that once major glaciers lose their ice shelves, as Zachariae has, they can then form cliffs extending up to 100 meters above sea level which will fail continually, because ice just isn’t strong enough to sustain a cliff so high. Zachariae could be moving into that realm.Finally, the study also notes that while Nioghalvfjerdsfjorden glacier has not been retreating or losing ice nearly as fast, it too could lose its stabilizing ice shelf, and after that, start to move faster. For it, too, appears to be exposed to warmer ocean water.“One can forsee [the retreat of Zachariae glacier] eventually inducing a race for biggest loser (of ice) between Zachariæ and the other glacier, Nioghalfjerdsfjorden which has a dense chain of islands (Norsk Oer Islands Barrier) blocking [its] free access to the sea,” added Jason Box by email. “Nioghalfjerdsfjorden is thinning so if climate warming remains unchecked, it is just a matter of time until Nioghalfjerdsfjorden disintegrates and the upstream underwater embayment becomes a traffic jam of megabergs shuffling to get out to sea.”The key question, however – as with all studies of glacial retreats in regions with the potential to cause major sea level rise – is how much and how fast. And that’s also, of course, the hardest one to answer.“The retreat of these marine-based sectors is likely to increase sea-level rise from Greenland for decades to come,” the paper concludes, but it does not specify how rapidly a full loss of the Zachariae glacier could occur.“Collapse of the entire basin is going to take a long time, it’s not going to happen tomorrow,” says Mouginot. “But it’s a process, when you start, it’s like Jakobshavn – [you don’t] see the glacier recovering from that.”© 2015, The Washington Post Facebook Comments Related posts:Earth in ‘uncharted territory’ on climate change What Paris climate talks have accomplished With COP21 talks in Paris moving forward after attacks, Latin America climate-change policies remain unclear Weather disasters have doubled in past 30 years: UN reportlast_img read more

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Its hard to imagine Cardinals coach Bruce Arians

first_img It’s hard to imagine Cardinals coach Bruce Arians turning to Blaine Gabbert in an emergency before he turns to Drew Stanton. Stanton has five years of experience in Arians’ offense; Gabbert has three months of experience under Arians and no regular season games.Gabbert’s signing this offseason is more likely about next year and beyond. He will have to wow Arians in the preseason to beat out Stanton for the backup spot behind Carson Palmer. 37 Comments   Share   Arizona Cardinals quarterback Blaine Gabbert (7) throws against the Dallas Cowboys during the first half of the Pro Football Hall of Fame NFL preseason game in Canton, Ohio, Thursday, Aug. 3, 2017. (AP Photo/Ron Schwane) Preseason qualifiers aside, it’s hard to imagine Gabbert impressing his coach more than he did Thursday in the Hall of Fame Game in Canton, Ohio. Three months after the seventh-year pro signed a one-year deal for third-string QB money ($775,000), he led the Cardinals to touchdowns on their first two drives against the Dallas Cowboys.Gabbert completed all six pass attempts on those drives, including a perfectly placed ball over the middle to receiver Brittan Golden for a 35-yard, third-down gain on the first drive, a 20-yard, third-down pass to tight end Troy Niklas and a 26-yard completion to tight end Ifeanyi Momah on the second drive to the Dallas 16-yard line. After a pass interference call on the Cowboys, Gabbert capped the second drive with a sneak for a two-point conversion, giving Arizona a 15-0 lead.“Blaine was really efficient, calm in the pocket, guys gave him good protection,” coach Bruce Arians said after Arizona’s 20-18 loss. “I love the start. You want to start fast and get a three-and-out and go back and score again. It couldn’t have been any better. A lot of those throws were second and third reads so he went through his progressions extremely well, especially those balls across the middle. That’s what you want to see. Stand calm in the pocket and play football.” – / 38 Gabbert’s most impressive pass of the day may have come on the Cardinals’ third drive when he completed a back-shoulder throw to receiver Jeremy Ross with a defender tight in coverage on the other shoulder and a defender closing from the opposite side. It was literally the only place Gabbert could have put the ball safely; the kind of tight-window throw that quarterbacks must have the guts to make and the skills to execute in order to succeed in the NFL.“I think the third downs were huge,” Gabbert told Arizona Sports’ Paul Calvisi. “Any time you can keep drives alive — and there were some big third downs — any time you can convert on those your percentage of scoring on those drives increases tremendously. We were executing at a high level there.”About the only gaffe in Gabbert’s night came when he faced pressure up the middle by linebacker Damien Wilson, was sacked and appeared to fumble the ball. The Cardinals recovered and were forced to punt on their third drive. Official stats did not saddle Gabbert with a fumble, however.Gabbert completed his first eight passes for 140 yards. On the Cardinals’ fourth drive, Marquis Bundy and Andre Ellington dropped consecutive pass (the throw to Ellington was slightly low) to force a second consecutive punt. Top Stories center_img Gabbert got an opportunity to practice the two-minute offense late in the half. Starting with 54 seconds on the clock, he completed four of five passes: to Momah for 14 yards, to Bundy for 18 yards, to Ellington for 11 yards and to Bundy for 16 yards. His final pass attempt to get the Cardinals in field goal range fell incomplete when he threw it a bit too far inside to receiver Krishawn Hogan, allowing a pass break-up.Richie Leone missed a 51-yard field goal just before halftime.In all, Gabbert completed 11 of 14 passes for 184 yards with a passer rating of 118.8. He displayed both zip and touch on his passes, athleticism in the pocket, and an understanding of the offense.It was an impressive debut.“Going into my seventh year, it’s all about execution, especially in the preseason,” Gabbert told Calvisi. “There’s going to be a lot of good film to learn off of and the mistakes that we made, we can correct easily and get ready to roll next week.”He went 11/14 for 185 yards & led 2 TD drives. @BlaineGabbert Hall of Fame Game Highlights pic.twitter.com/j3UbTi4Vlx— Arizona Cardinals (@AZCardinals) August 4, 2017Follow Craig Morgan on Twitter The 5: Takeaways from the Coyotes’ introduction of Alex Meruelo Derrick Hall satisfied with D-backs’ buying and selling Former Cardinals kicker Phil Dawson retires Grace expects Greinke trade to have emotional impactlast_img read more

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